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Pakistan Warns of Imminent Indian Military Strike Amid Escalating Kashmir Tensions

  • Published: 30 Apr, 2025 01:46 AM

  • Asia

Key Actors

What happened?

Pakistan's Information Minister Attaullah Tarar has announced that the country possesses credible intelligence suggesting India plans to launch a military strike within 24 to 36 hours, following a deadly attack in Indian-administered Kashmir that killed 26 people, which India has linked to Pakistani elements—a claim Islamabad denies.

In response to the worsening diplomatic relations, India has suspended the Indus Waters Treaty, while Pakistan has closed its airspace to Indian airlines.


Insight

The Pahalgam attack has reignited longstanding tensions between India and Pakistan over the disputed Kashmir region. India's suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty and Pakistan's closure of its airspace indicate a rapid deterioration in diplomatic relations. The international community, including the U.S. and China, has expressed concern and urged both nations to exercise restraint.

Why So?

The immediate trigger for the current escalation is the Pahalgam attack, which India attributes to Pakistani-backed militants. Pakistan denies involvement and has called for a neutral investigation. Both nations have taken retaliatory measures, including diplomatic expulsions and increased military readiness along the Line of Control.

What's Next?

If India proceeds with a military strike, it could lead to a significant escalation, potentially drawing in international actors to mediate. The situation remains volatile, with both nations on high alert and the risk of miscalculation high. Diplomatic efforts are underway to de-escalate tensions, but the outcome remains uncertain.

Confrontation

  • India
  • Pakistan
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